If Russia isn’t supposed to protect Russian minorities, why doesn’t NATO do it?
The governments of Western Europe
and North America have spent the first years of the 21st century complaining
about Russian threats and aggression, and the major media have gone along for
the ride. The march to Cold War II increased dramatically when the US
government incited and funded a revolution in Ukraine in 2014, then accused
Russia of aggression when it acted in the anticipated way by defending Russian
minorities in Eastern Ukraine (Donbass region) and Crimea, and by protecting
its strategic military assets (warm water ports, access to the Mediterranean
Sea) in the Black Sea. By taking action to protect minorities, Russia was
acting on the precedent set by NATO when it claimed RTP (right to protect) in
Kosovo in 1999.
The US and other NATO countries accused
Russia of violations of international law when it made a restrained defense of Russian
minorities in Donbass and conducted a referendum in Crimea, which led to
Crimeans choosing to join Russia rather than to continue under a political
regime that didn’t offer a promising future. Californians are in a similar
situation now as they start to talk about independence as an alternative to
living in a nation that elected Donald Trump as president.
The legitimacy of Russia’s actions
have been debated extensively elsewhere, so the topic will not be covered
further here in great detail.[1]
Instead, I will discuss a simple way the new cold war tensions could be
de-escalated if the US were interested in pursuing it.
In an editorial by Julia Ioffe published
in New Republic in 2014,[2]
the writer pointed out what she thought was an obvious hypocrisy in the Russian
policy that always claims to be defending Russian minorities in states along
its borders. She described in detail the egregious human rights abuses that
exist in some NATO allies, but she did so without making any criticism of the
NATO partners that turn a blind eye to the abuses:
In a February 2012 referendum, Latvians roundly
rejected Russian as an official second language. It is analogous to what
happened in Ukraine after Yanukovich fled the country: The parliament
overturned a law that would have granted official status to the Russian
language... In Estonia, things are far worse. Ethnic Russians are somewhere
between one-fifth and one-quarter of the population. And yet, after Estonian
independence in 1991, they were not given citizenship, even if they were born
there. Russians who weren't living in Estonia before Soviet times are given a
gray passport connoting their official status as “aliens.” They can't vote in
national elections and have trouble finding work.[3]
She contrasted these abuses with
similar ones carried out in Ukraine, then pointed out in her “gotcha” line that
Russia has taken no military action in the Baltic countries (Estonia, Lithuania
and Latvia) that belong to NATO:
And where is Putin when you need him? Where are the
Russian soldiers in unmarked uniforms patrolling the streets of Tallinn... And
what, if you want to be cynical about it, of Estonia's strategic importance? ...But
Estonia, you see, is part of NATO. As is Latvia, as is Lithuania.... So is it
about protecting Russian speakers, or is about getting away with whatever you
can get away with?
Or is it about doing what you can while
being fully aware of the differences between Ukraine and the Baltic states? Russia
supplied weapons in Donbass and held a referendum in Crimea—without needing to “invade”
it because it already had military bases there under a pre-existing treaty with
Ukraine. It was able to do this because Ukraine was not part of NATO, but
Russia could take no such action in the Baltic states to protect Russian
minorities because they belong to NATO. Putin obviously doesn’t want to start
WWIII over problems with Estonia, and he is quite aware that their sovereignty
is a settled matter. Another significant factor is that the human rights abuses
in the Baltic states are much less of a concern than the violence, threats of
violence and chaos that were evident in Ukraine in 2014. The problems in the
Baltics are related to language rights, citizenship rights and so on. These are
not the sorts of problems that call for military intervention. The revolution
in Ukraine, however, was violent, and it was followed in May by a day of ethnic
rioting that ended in fifty deaths inside the Russian Trade Unions House in
Odessa, most of them ethnic Russian, while police stood by either impotent or
unwilling to intervene.[4]
These distinctions are all obvious to people who know the issues, so what is
the point of the editorial in New
Republic? The tone of it hints almost at a rejoicing in the fact that there
are some places where ethnic Russians can be abused with impunity.
Interestingly, the writer seems to
suggest that the reluctance to start a war with NATO is a reason to scoff at
Putin, or she implies that Ukraine should be in NATO because, as we are all
supposed to know, it would be such a great thing if the whole world got more
involved in helping the neo-Nazis, holocaust deniers and kelptocrats running
the illegal regime in Ukraine[5]
(the president was never correctly impeached according to the requirements of
the constitution)[6].
The writer also fails to make any
distinctions between the Baltic states and Ukraine. The former were never a
part of the original Soviet Union when it achieved recognition as a sovereign
nation. They were illegally annexed during WWII as a defensive measure against
German invasion. After the war there were provisional governments in exile that
continued to fight to end the occupation, but since this was not part of the
deal worked out by Churchill, Stalin and Roosevelt at the end of the war, the
Baltic states remained in the Soviet bloc. Late in Gorbachev’s rule, as claims
for independence arose in all the Soviet republics, the Baltic states were the
first to rise up with the most legitimate claims for independence. Gorbachev
recognized that they had unique claims to sovereignty, just as the Kingdom of
Hawai’i still has a claim that it has been illegally occupied since 1898 (no
treaty of surrender exists, unilaterally annexed by a foreign nation)[7].
Putin also knows that the independence of the Baltic states is a settled
matter. Later they joined NATO, and that is a fait accompli. Nothing can be done to reverse the situation, and why
would Russia want to try anyway?
Ukraine and Crimea, on the other
hand, have a history that is much more entangled with Russia culturally and
economically, and Ukraine is not yet a part of NATO or the EU. The roots of
Russian culture go back to the ancient capital in Kiev, and Crimea, mostly culturally
Russian, Ukrainian and Tatar, was assigned to the Ukraine Republic by
Khrushchev in the 1950s when no one imagined the breakup of the Soviet Union.
It was just an internal re-assignment on the map.
Furthermore, there is debate about
whether Ukraine is a recently constructed nationality because it has always
been ethnically diverse and under the rule of various powers throughout history.
The name even means “borderland.” The first nationalist movements were tainted
by their collaboration with Germany during WWII, and the present wave of
nationalism has seen a whitewashing of national heroes who were really
collaborators and participants in genocide.
Finally, a lot has happened since
the Baltic states won their independence and joined NATO. Russia has watched
NATO expansion continue, and has grown strong enough to stand up to it. The
US-instigated coup in Ukraine (a violation of international law that preceded
the alleged violation in Crimea) was the last straw, and Russia reacted. The
legality of the reaction is debatable, but in contrast with all that America
has done to assert its interests abroad, Russia’s actions have been minimal,
restrained reactions to provocations on its borders. Since NATO was the first
to normalize resort to RTP as an excuse for intervention, perhaps it is time to
judge such interventions not on ambiguous technicalities and subjective
justifications but on their outcomes. Unlike the many interventions carried out
by the US since 1999, there has been no civil war in Crimea. There are no waves
of refugees fleeing in dangerous boat journeys across the Black Sea—no bombardments
of television stations and infrastructure, or “accidental”
strikes on foreign embassies. A passenger jet was shot down, but the
NATO-Ukraine sponsored investigation keeps finding excuses to dismiss evidence
provided by Russia that shows Ukrainian forces shot it down. Recently, a new
group of 25 journalists, former civil aviation pilots and researchers from
Germany, the Netherlands and Australia have demanded... “a new investigation [that]
should include independent international researchers able to overcome
governments’ reluctance to disclose information.”[8]
The results of the intervention in Donbass
are hypothetical—one can’t say what would have happened without Russian assistance—but
it’s likely that the Russian minorities there are glad they had some
protection—though what came from Russia and the international community has not
been enough. The Minsk agreement has been broken again this month (January
2017) as Ukraine has been accused of backing militia attacks across the
disengagement line.[9]
It is evident that because of the
different history and context, Russia has entirely different rationales for its
reactions toward the Baltic states and Ukraine. The most stunning thing about
the New Republic editorial is that it
describes in shocking detail how badly Russian minorities have been treated in
the Baltic states, yet it completely avoids calling for justice or making the
obvious critique. What it doesn’t say
is more significant than what it does
say. Why do Europe, NATO and the US not insist that the Baltic states uphold
the high ideals and human rights that they always claim as the justification
for their domination? Why is this not a pre-requisite of being allowed to join
the club? Why do they prefer to constantly dwell on only Russia’s internal
problems? Why is there no robust UN peacekeeping force, made of soldiers from
neutral nations, in the Donbass region?
Such concerns for protecting
minorities were never on the agenda when Turkey joined NATO decades earlier, so
no one should be surprised by this inaction, but if NATO members insisted that the
Baltic states grant citizenship and full rights to its Russian minorities, this
gesture would go a long way in reducing tensions between Russia and the US. But
who wants to insist on human rights when the military-industrial-congressional
complex needs to increase the percentage of GDP that NATO members spend on
defense? This editorial writer who set out so smugly to show Russian hypocrisy
actually succeeded, unintentionally, in underscoring the hypocrisy and disdain
for human rights within the NATO alliance.
Notes
[1] Gary Leupp, “The
Utter Stupidity of the New Cold War,” Counterpunch, January 10, 2017.
[2] Julia Ioffe, “Ethnic
Russians in the Baltics Are Actually Persecuted. So Why Isn't Putin Stepping
In?” New Republic, March
12, 2014.
[3] This situation is described in more
detail in a 2016 report by Human Rights
Watch: “Human
Rights Watch submission to the Committee on the Rights of the Child concerning
Estonia,” November 21, 2016.
[4] Roman Goncharenko, “The
Odessa File: What Happened on May 2, 2014?” Deutsche Welle (DW), May 2, 2015.
[5] Josh Cohen, “The
Historian Whitewashing Ukraine’s Past,” Foreign Policy, May 2, 2016.
[6] “Hawai‘i
and the Crimean Crisis – Obama is not a Legitimate President,” Hawaiian Kingdom Blog, March 14, 2014.
[7] Dennis Riches, “Hawaiian
Kingdom, American Empire: An Interview With Professor Keanu Sai,” Mint Press News, January 4, 2017
(interview conducted in August 2015).
[8] “European
experts ask Trump to back new independent inquiry into MH17 crash,” Russia Today, January 24, 2017.
[9] “Ukrainian
paramilitary supported by army attacked rebels in East,” Russia Today, January 31, 2017.
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